It’s not a question of if; it’s a question of when and by how much. October 1, 2014 will begin the Department of State’s 2015 fiscal year. At that time, the annual visa quota is reset and priority dates are recalculated for the coming year. Priority date retrogression, or backward movement, may occur for a particular visa category based on changes in demand from the previous year.
According to a report by the American Immigration Lawyers Association, Charles Oppenheim, Department of State Chief of the Visa Control and Reporting Division, predicted that the EB-2 India Green Card priority date will retrogress significantly for 2015. As of the October 2014 Visa Bulletin, EB-2 India was May 1, 2009. Mr. Oppenheim predicted that the EB-2 India “will retrogress, possibly to a date in early 2005.” This anticipated retrogression is the result of the large volume of Indian-born upgrades in 2014 from EB-3 to EB-2. The change in priority date processing time could occur as early as November 2014.